Untitled DocumentDevelopment of a conceptual model for SAHRA's scenario-based multi-resolution integrated modeling
Macro Theme Area:
Integrated Modeling [Project ID: M23]
PI:
Yuqiong Liu
CO-PI(s):
Hoshin Gupta, Matt Durcik, and Thorsten Wagener
Basin focus:
Colorado, Rio Grande
Specific area in
basin /
field sites:
N/A
Summary/Goals: The goal of this project is to develop a conceptual model framework for SAHRA's scenario-based multi-resolution integrated modeling research, which is stake-holder driven and seeks to address three integrating science questions (i.e., vegetation question, riparian question, and water markets question). This conceptual model will assist the integrated modeling team in scenario development, model development/evaluation, data collection/analysis, and database development.
Activities and outcomes during past year:
A preliminary framework has been established and the essential components of the conceptual model have been identified. These components are: 1) a Conceptual Site Model (CSM) which describes the basin and its environment from physical, socio-economic, and behavioral/institutional perspectives, based on relevant data collected within the basin; 2) a Conceptual Physical Model (CPM) for each of the integrated models focused on the three science questions that SAHRA seeks to address.
In 2007, in collaboration with the scenario development efforts, detail information about modeing projects are being collected to develop the CPMs for the three specific integrating science questions. These efforts include developing project fact sheets,and having workshops and personal/phone meetings with the indivisual questions groups. The development of a distributed conceptaul model at different spatial and temporal scales has begun and preliminary simulation results are encouraging.
Plans for the upcoming year:
In 2007, the development of the distributed conceptaul model accross different scales will continue. Primary research will focus on investigating hydrologic implications of climate change in the Colorado and Rio Grande River Basins using downscaled climate scenarios developed by SAHRA scenario group.
